Jones Knows is back for two Premier League midweek matches and identifies a corner carrying on the case of Brentford scoring late against Southampton.
Southampton-Brentford, Tuesday 19:45 – Watch free highlights of this game after full time
My two views for this clash revolve against Southampton and thinking there is some juice in the market regarding a low-scoring deal. The Saints have an elite manager who is once again creating an environment where players are flourishing to the extent that relegation isn’t even in the conversation despite a significant lack of investment in the game team.
However, with a 19/20 odds with Sky Bet for a home win, they are easily opposable considering they have only won two of nine games at St Mary’s this season.
Even at St Mary’s the goals were poor. Wolves’ home games alone have seen a lower overall average of goals per game than Southampton’s with just 1.89 goals scored every 90 minutes this season. Under 2.5 goals at 4/5 with Sky Bet is worth a look.
Southampton’s poor second half record also indicates that Brentford scored the last goal of the match at 6/4 with Sky Bet being an interesting betting angle. It’s a bet that would have worked in eight of Southampton’s last nine games to begin with.
Ralph Hasenhutt’s team are famous for their starts but tend to run out of gas as the final whistle approaches. If the second half only counted this season, the Saints would be next to bottom with just seven goals scored. On the other hand, Brentford have the seventh best second-half record in the Premier League and no team has conceded fewer goals than them after half-time (8). With Bryan Mbeumo back alongside Ivan Toney, the Bees have the firepower to punish a sloppy second half of the shaky hosts and score the last goal of the match.
PRONUNCIATION SCORE: 1-1
BET CORNER: Brentford scores the last goal of the match (6/4 with Sky Bet)
West Ham vs Norwich, Wednesday 19:45 – Watch free highlights of this game after full time
Supporting Norwich to lose without scoring has been the staple of my betting diet for the past couple of months. He has won five games in a row, all at rock bottom prices. However, timing is everything when it comes to jumping in and out of a particular lucrative corner and having witnessed the Canaries in most of those defeats, the end of their scoring drought seems on the cards.
In that streak of five sterile games, Norwich actually recorded an expected goal figure of 4.08 which tells us that a mixture of poor finishing and some variance is to blame for their timid return of goals rather than one. problem with their chance creation metrics. The return of Teemu Pukki and Milot Rashica will surely help matters. Both went off the bench to add much-needed quality to Norwich’s attack in the 1-0 FA Cup win over Charlton on Sunday.
I have no interest in supporting Norwich in the match results markets against such a ruthless team as West Ham, but the shots and goals department at the advertised prices are worth a look. Both teams scoring at Evens with Sky Bet seem a little juicy to me.
West Ham are also facing a lot of shots on goal over the past month.
Without Kurt Zouma and Angelo Ogbonna they are defending deeper than usual with Craig Dawson’s lack of pace a potential weakness, so opposing teams are finding ground easy to find. The Hammers have faced a whopping 16 shots every 90 minutes in their last six games.
Norwich’s line of shots has been set at 10+ shots with Evens available with Sky Bet. Though lacking quality in the last third, Smith’s style is forward-looking and he has scored 10 or more shots in all three away games under their new manager in Newcastle (16), Tottenham (10) and Crystal Palace (12) ). Combining both teams to score and Norwich to get 10 or more away shots at 4/1 should give you a great run.
PRONOSTIC SCORE: 2-1
BET ANGLE: Both teams score and Norwich make 10 or more shots (4/1 with Sky Bet)