Premier League betting: Back Arsenal to keep it respectable vs Man City at 100/30 | Football News

Having nailed a 4/1 winner with Brighton at Chelsea in the middle of the week, Jones Knows has three main bets to attack over the New Year’s weekend.

How did our midweek bet go?

Just lovely, thanks for asking. A 2-point game over Brighton for 10+ shots and a +2 handicap against Chelsea landed with relative ease after Graham Potter’s men played with their usual bravery, crossing the 10-shot line at 40 minutes from the end. That win brings us a 43-point profit for the season. A frustrating year of betting, soured by some bad beats from James Ward-Prowse and Ruben Dias – no, not finished yet, it ended with a bit of glee.

Let’s bring 2022 with other winners, shall we? I have three episodes to attack …

P + L = +43

2pt on Arsenal +2 handicap, under 3.5 goals and under 50 pts warning (100/30 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

With Arsenal making it to even the freshest squad that haven’t played since Boxing Day, the reason their game with Man City is competitive is strong. I wouldn’t give up anyone trying Arsenal’s double chance at 6/4 with Sky Bet, but I’m taking a more cautious route and backing them up with a +2 goal start so they can win, draw or lose one. In the last 18 days away from the top eight, Manchester City have only won four times by more than one goal. It’s a work mindset rather than a winning one for Pep Guardiola in these types of tough games.

I am happy to put myself out there to be a card friendly deal to raise the price. These two teams are notoriously well-mannered in their games. In 2021, only West Ham saw fewer yellow cards given to their opponents than Arsenal (50) and Man City (53) in evaluating ever-present Premier League teams. It makes booking points under 50+ very tempting at 4/6 with Sky Bet, so I’m happy to sprinkle some on a nice 100/30 multi-bet price on the same increased game as Sky Bet.

1pt over Lucas Moura to have a shot on goal against Watford and Micheal Keane to have a shot against Brighton (3/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Two-shot prices hit me this weekend, so let’s combine them, shall we?

A Tottenham striker who remains overpriced in a number of markets is Lucas Moura, who enjoys playing with freedom in a swashbuckling attack with Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son. The Brazilian is encouraged to play in more central areas, making five shots on goal, including one goal against Crystal Palace and three shots on goal, all on goal, in just 28 minutes of action in the equalizer with Southampton. The chance for him to register a shot on goal in this game is considered a very strong bet against such a timid opposition.

Image:
Lucas Moura celebrates Spurs-West Ham’s goal

Double up with Michael Keane.

Sure, Brighton were extraordinarily impressive at Stamford Bridge midweek, but one area they struggled in was their inability to defend set pieces. It probably stems from the disappearance of Lewis Dunk. In their last five games, Brighton have had 5.2 shots per game on set pieces, the third highest average of all Premier League teams during that period.

With him still in the treatment room, Everton should be sure to get a lot of joy out of those areas.

My eyes were drawn from 11/10 onwards Michael Keane have one or more shots on goal. The Everton center-back carries a big threat as he ventures forward and has fired a shot in 12 of his 17 appearances this season.

1pt over Liverpool to win and over 28 total shots (5/1 with Sky Bet)

They are all about a Liverpool away win and the match to break through the lines of strokes rated by Sky Bet.

Liverpool are heading to Stamford Bridge after defeat to Leicester, but now is no time to panic for them. The attacking process remains frighteningly good, with an average of just over 2.5 goals expected every 90 minutes in the last eight games. Chelsea have kept a clean sheet only once in their last eight Premier League games. It’s hard to see them improve that record against the Reds’ rampant frontline.

Given that the expected match scenario is characterized by a high pace, with goals and draws not good for either team, the match shooting market is also worth a visit. Liverpool have averaged 19.5 shots in 90 minutes this season and I would expect them to hit just below that number this season, as Chelsea are shooting more shots on target than they have at the start of the season. Brighton scored 18 points midweek, Leeds scored 12 and Watford 14. With Tuchel’s side unlikely to be able to sit behind the home crowd, they will fly forward and should also rely on getting away shots. This makes shooting lines with Sky Bet very attractive with 27+ (11/10), 29+ (15/8) and 31+ (3/1) all worth a tidbit.

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