Live match preview – Brighton vs Brentford 26.12.2021

Team news, stats and predictions ahead of Brighton vs Brentford in the Premier League on Boxing Day; kick-off at 20.00.

Team news

Brighton striker Danny Welbeck is set to end a three-month injury absence against Brentford at Amex Stadium on Boxing Day.

Pascal Gross and Neal Maupay are expected to be available after missing the defeat to Wolves last week, but club captain Lewis Dunk will be out before mid-January.

Adam Webster is back in training after his injury and could be in contention if he doesn’t suffer a setback and, while Shane Duffy returns after serving a one-day ban, Yves Bissouma is disqualified after taking his fifth yellow card of the season against the Wolves.

Brentford striker Ivan Toney is pushing to return to the starting lineup.

Toney returned to the field as a substitute in the second half in the Carabao Cup quarter-final defeat to Chelsea in the middle of the week after a bout of illness with the coronavirus.

Manager Thomas Frank expects to have more or less the same squad on Wednesday with Mathias Jorgensen, Kristoffer Ajer, David Raya and Josh Dasilva still injured.

How to follow

Live Renault Super Sunday

Sunday 26 December 19:45

Brighton vs Brentford is live Sky Sport Premier League from 19:45; kick-off at 20.00. Sky Sports Customers can watch game clips in the match blog live on Sky Sports website and app. The highlights will also be published on the Sky Sports digital platforms and the Sky Sport Soccer YouTube channel shortly after the final whistle.

The last time

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FREE TO WATCH: Highlights of Wolves’ victory over Brighton in the Premier League.

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Highlights from the Carabao Cup quarter-final match between Brentford and Chelsea.

Jones Knows Prediction

No Lewis Dunk means it’s hard to imagine Brighton stopping their torrid winless run which is now 11 Premier League games.

Over the past four seasons, Dunk has lost 11 Premier League games to Brighton and only won one. Incredibly, this was the 3-2 win over Manchester City last season. Despite this strange result, the numbers suggest that Brentford envision their chances of putting pressure on goalkeeper Robert Sanchez, who seem like a weak link for Brighton, when given the chance. The draw looks like a great runner at 23/10 with Sky Bet.

However, I expect Brighton to bring their normal levels of dominance back to the table, especially with Brentford happy to sit a little deeper away from home and soak up the pressure. This is seen from their corner stats on the street. No team have won fewer corners than Brentford away (25) and that record should only get worse as the season progresses as they have only played one of their current top six away games.

I expect Brighton to comfortably win the corner so I am happy to take the 11/8 over Brighton with a -2 handicap in that particular market which means we will win as long as Graham Potter’s team wins three or more curves relative to their opponents.


BET CORNER: Brighton -2 corner handicap (11/8 with Sky Bet)

Eight statistics

  • Brighton won the first leg against Brentford 1-0, but scored twice in the league against the Bees in only one of the last 23 seasons they met, in 2010-11 in League One.
  • Brentford have won two of their last three league away games against Brighton (D1), more than they have in their previous 12 away games (1V 1 D4 S7). This is their first league match at Amex since winning 2-0 in September 2016.
  • Brighton have lost only one of their last 12 Premier League games against promoted sides (W5 D6), losing 1-0 at West Brom in February. The Seagulls have conceded only four goals in these games, keeping clean sheets in seven of their last eight.
  • Brighton have not won in their last 11 Boxing Day league games (4N S7) since beating QPR 1-0 in 2005-06. It is the longest running run without a Boxing Day championship win by any team in the top four levels of English football.
  • Brentford have lost just one of their last 12 league games in Boxing Day (W7 D4), losing 4-2 at home to Ipswich in 2014-15. The Bees have never lost this day in the top flight (W2 D1), with this their first game of its kind following a 2-1 win over Sheffield United in 1946.

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